We paper-traded the viral "Grok trading desk"

The reel claims "$87 into $8,000". Here is the same desk design (scout → news → chart → skeptic) trading $100 of paper money on Coinbase prices, every 15 min, with real spreads and a 0.6% fee. Two desks (Grok, and a free local Qwen model) against two baselines.

■ Grok desk: $100.00■ Qwen desk: $100.00■ Random entry: $100.00■ Buy & hold BTC: $98.17

$100.00$97.23$100 startOct 15 21:45 UTCOct 16 22:15 UTC

Gaps in a line = the machine was off or the feed was down; nothing is back-filled. Updated 2026-10-16 22:15 UTC.

Trades

bookcoinopenedentrystoptargetexitP&Lwhy
holdBTC2026-10-15T21:4582175.4———openbuy-and-hold baseline

Every decision, word for word

at (UTC)bookkinddetail
2026-10-16T20:45alldeploy_failedwrangler exit 1

Rules

Prompts are reconstructed from the reel's role descriptions (its exact prompts are behind "comment GROK") and were frozen before the first trade. SHA-256 of the desk and book source: 8a6f590bf2b97a46005c8aa27ca55ef73fa0e6616e3547c98bd6f3ea9ab155cd. Paper money, not financial advice.